The first report issued by consultancy AgRural for the 2016/2017 crop season in Brazil reveals that the planting progress just reached 0.3% of the expected surface. The works have not advanced in the last few weeks because of dry and hot weather. Most farmers are trying to avoid replanting and have awaited the best climate condition to begin works. A year ago, planting was at 5% of the surface. As of now, the most advanced progress in the state of Paraná with 1.7% of the crop planted. Total output potential is seen at 109.7 million metric tons.
For corn, planting already started well in the Southern states and the commercial surface planting reached 19% of the total crop. In the South, the progress is at 40%. Santa Catarina leads with 55% of the works finished, followed by Rio Grande do Sul with 45%, and Paraná has just 16% of the crop planted. The dry weater has been a setback especially in the region of Campos Gerais, Paraná, near Curitiba, the state’s capital. According to AgRural, the estimated corn production for the Center-South of Brazil is 22.4 million metric tons, which is 10% less than the previous summer crop.
The sales of the 2017/2018 crop in Argentina are strong. According to Buenos Aires brokerage Zeni, there a growth of 62.2% on sales compared to the same period of last year. The volume of forward sales already reached three million metric tons. The reason behind the increase is that soybean will have a decrease of export tax by 0.5 percentage points per month in 2018, starting in January.
A report from the Rural Institute of Technical Assistance of Rio Grande do Sul (Emater/RS) reveals that the planting surface for corn the southern southernmost state of Brazilian reached 34 percent of the surface. The area planted in the season 1.8 million acres, which is 11.,7 percent below the previous crop. Conditions in Rio Grande do Sul are considered favorable, but there are some plague occurrences taking place already.
Alongside that, soybean growers in Rio Grande do Sul are at the stage of input purchases and chemical management to start planting the oilseed. Most growers are likely to begin planting in October.
By Luís Vieira
Low commodity prices are an issue that farmers will always have to face from time to time. On the other hand, there are alternatives that some farmers may consider for the purpose of rotation and to diversify risk.
The current season is definitely not the best for a lot of farmers in the Midwest, especially if you grow either wheat or corn. For Kansas analyst Mike Zuzolo, director at Global Commodity Analytics & Consulting, there has never been so much interest in replacing crops.
Read the full story at Agriculture.com
In several regions of Brazil, farmers are not being able to start planting because of dry weather. But some meteorologists, like Celso Oliveira from Somar Meteorologia, say that moisture conditions are under normality for the period.
The weather forecast until September 22 says that the climate will be dry in most parts of the country, but rains will drop in southern states like Rio Grande do Sul, Parana, and Santa Catarina. Some changes would happen between September 23 and September 27, but the weather would still be dry in the Center-West. Rains would just be sufficient after this period with up to 2.7 inches, which would be slightly below the average for the region.
After the end of fallowing in all states, everything is set up for the start of planting of corn and soybeans in Brazil. Fallowing a legal agronomic practice that forbids planting in 90 days to avoid the Asian Rust. But the big issue is that the climate is not likely to help. In the state of Paraná, the second largest producer for both crops, planting has already delayed due to dryness. Lack of rain is also seen in other states like Mato Grosso do Sul and Mato Grosso. Favorable conditions are just seen in Rio Grande do Sul at the moment. Today, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the United States increased the probability of a stronger La Niña from 55 percent to 65 percent.
A new cold front has come in the last week of this winter to the central regions of Argentina bring temperatures below 10 degree Celsius (50 degrees F) or even five degrees (41 F) in some cases, but these temperatures would go up again by the weekend. The forecast from the Buenos Aires Cereal Exchange also says that rains would return to the main producing rains after the scarcity of drops in the middle of the coming week. More precipitation would be seen in the Northern parts of the country. Argentina is about to start planting of corn and soybeans.
Brazil’s National Supply Company (Conab) has released a new report this Tuesday (09.12) and confirmed a record grain production of 238.7 million metric tons in the 2016/2017 season. The total output is 27.9 percent or 51 million metric tons higher than last year due to more favorable weather that generated higher yields.
The first crop finished with a total output of 30.46 million metric tons, while the second corn crop, that is about to finish harvest, is still estimated at 67.25 million metric tons. In the meantime, the total soybean production in the country was 114 million metric tons.
For wheat, there is an estimated production of 5.19 million metric tons, but there is still a lot to be harvested. For cotton, a harvest is near the end with an estimate of 1.53 million metric tons of cotton plume and 2.3 million metric tons of cotton core. In the season, 12.33 million metric tons of rice were produced.
The planting of soybeans and corn in some key regions of Brazil was expected to start this week, but it did not happen. There is lack of rain in the states of Mato Grosso, Paraná, and Mato Grosso do Sul. Some analysts say that is too early to be alarmed, but Somar Mereologia forecasts scarce rains in the coming days of September.
After abundant rains over the weekend, nearly three percent of the total surface for the grain agriculture in the season, or 2.4 million acres, could not be used in the next season in Argentina, according to the Buenos Aires Cereal Exchange. Experts at the Cereal Exchange do not eliminate the possibility that more acres are cut. In just ten days, there was more rain volume than expected for the month of September in key producing provinces of Buenos Aires, Santa Fe, La Pampa, and Entre Rios.